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CVCC EXIT POLLS in Centre County
Because
Centre County PA is using ES&S iVotronic voting systems,
without voter verified paper ballots, exit polls are the only
method we have to provide a check on the official election results.
CVCC joined forced with the Pennsylvania State University
Statistics Department to conduct exit polling in three precincts,
in November 2006 and 2007.
Exit
Poll 2006 showed that two of the three precincts had significant
abnormalities in the election result comparisons.
Exit
Poll 2007 showed that no differences
between the exit poll results and the official results.
This makes us even more suspicious of our 2006 findings, especially
considering the many incidents of vote switching on the screen
that were reported in Nov. 2006. (For more on vote switching,
see page 2 of CVCC
2006 Report)
Our most recent exit poll also indicates that voters over age
55 are 3 times more likely to be dissatisfied with our current
touch screen voting machines than younger voters.
The precincts in question in Nov 2006:
College North:
Governor and State Senate races were in question. Democratic
candidates Rendell and Eich won in our exit polls but official
wins there went to Republicans, Swann and Corman.
Ferguson NE:
Rendell was the winner in both the exit poll and official count
but our exit poll showed he would've won by a significantly
higher margin.
Details on page 2 and page 8 of this document:
Exit
Poll Nov 2006 Results
PSU entered these numbers 3 times to be sure.
Because we do not have a paper record and cannot do recounts
for these 2006 results, we simply cannot determine why these
numbers did not match and have no way to know if it was a problem
with the machine's official count or something in our exit polls.
We can only raise the question and the issue as EVIDENCE
THAT WE NEED A VOTER VERIFIED PAPER RECORD IN ALL OUR ELECTIONS!
CVCC
brief history:
CVCC began as a small
grassroots group of less than 10 people in 2005 and has grown
to nearly 70 active members.
• Spring 2006: As the Help America Vote
Act was being implemented, CVCC launched a public informational
campaign and lobbied our County Commissioners to select a voter
verified voting system that provided a paper ballot for audits
and recounts. Pennsylvania’s privacy laws prevent a paper
roll from being used on DRE machines so we supported optical
scan machines.
Despite our efforts, our county commissioners purchased ES&S
iVotronics, a paperless voting system for Centre County.
• November, 2006: CVCC conducted poll
watching in numerous precincts throughout the county.
- Our
Report of Election Day Problems, 2006 documents 17 precincts
that had problems printing zero tapes and opening on time.
- CVCC received numerous reports of vote-switching on the screen,
especially in the Governor’s and Senator’s races.
Vote Switching was reported widely across PA in 2006. It was
explained to be a calibration issue or voter error.
• November, 2006: CVCC joined forced
with the Pennsylvania State University Statistics Department
to conduct exit polling in 3 precincts, for the first time.
- Our Exit Poll results matched the official winners in all
races except for in 2 races where the official results showed
the Republican candidate had won for the Governor’s race
and the State Senate race, but our exit poll results showed
the Democratic candidates winning those races. This was a significant
difference:
Nov
2006 Exit Poll PRESS RELEASE
NOV
2006 Exit Poll Summery
• Spring 2007 - November 2007: CVCC continues
public education and informational meetings in support of paper
ballot voting systems.
- By November 2007 ALL candidates running against the 2 incumbent
County Commissioners supported a paper record and it became
a major campaign issue.
The Chair, County Commissioner who was responsible for our County
's decision to purchase DREs was voted out of office and 2 of
the 3 newly elected County Commissioners have committed to replacing
our current paperless systems in favor of a paper ballot voting
system!
- Fall 2007: CVCC was able to raise $1,020
to go towards our November 2007 exit poll expenses.
• November 2007: CVCC had poll watchers
in many precincts.6 precincts had late openings and we consider
it very strange that there were no reports of vote-switching
on the screen in Centre County and we also have heard of none
across the state. How were all theses calibration issues and
user error problems corrected in one year?
•
NOVEMBER 2007 EXIT POLL RESULTS
- Our Exit poll results match official results in all races
polled, with 95% confidence. This provides a strong baseline
for our exit polls in November 2008. If a race does not match-up
next November it will be very hard to explain.
- This accuracy rate makes us even more suspicious that 2 races
did not match in our Nov. 2006 exit poll.
OPED
for Voices of Central PA November 2007
Thank
you to the many local citizens whose donations supported our
exit polls so far,
and thank you also to the Election
Defense Alliance for their support!
As
of Dec 2007, CVCC still needs to raise
$1000 more to pay Penn State Statistic’s Department for
their 2007 analysis and are continuing to raise money for 2008
exit polls.
Donations
can be mailed to:
Concerned Voters of Centre County
137 North Spring Street
Bellefonte, PA 16823
Thank
you!
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